Документы и доклады

Is Escaping the Fiscal Pro-Cyclicality Trap Possible ? Evidence from the Middle East and North Africa (Английский)

This paper analyzes fiscal policy cyclicality, with a specific focus on the Middle East and North Africa region, which is known for its significant output volatility. The paper provides new and more granular...

Crisis Credit, Employment Protection, Indebtedness, and Risk (Английский)

This paper studies how credit guarantee and employment protection programs interact in assisting firms during crises times. The paper analyzes how these government programs influence credit allocation...

How Do Rising U.S. Interest Rates Affect Emerging and Developing Economies ? It Depends (Английский)

This paper examines the implications of different types of interest rate shocks in the United States for emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). It first classifies changes in U.S. interest rates...

Machine Learning Guided Outlook of Global Food Insecurity Consistent with Macroeconomic Forecasts (Английский)

Motivated by the deterioration in global food security conditions, this paper develops a parsimonious machine learning model to derive a multi-year outlook of global severe food insecurity from macro-economic...

Lao PDR - The impact of COVID-19 on Firms (Английский)

The COVID-19 pandemic has triggered an unprecedented worldwide recession. Survey results show deepening impact on business performance and pessimistic investment outlooks, which will likely require some...

Are capital flows fickle? Increasingly ? and does the answer still depend on type? (Английский)

According to conventional wisdom, capital flows are fickle. Focusing on emerging markets, this paper asks whether this conventional wisdom still holds in the contemporary world. The results show that...

Analysis of the results of the risk assessment seismic and functions of vulnerability of the Costa Rican Institute of water supply and sewer network : Analisis de los resultados de la evaluacion del Riesgo sismico y las funciones de vulnerabilidad de la red del instituto costarricense de acueductos y alcantarillados (Испанский)

Criteria for the analysis of vulnerability of water storage tanks : project of evaluation of seismic risk of the net of the Costa Rican Institute of aqueducts and sewers (AyA) : Criterios para el analisis de vulnerabilidad de tanques de almacenamiento de agua : proyecto de evaluacion del riesgo sismico de la red del Instituto Costarricense de Acueductos y Alcantarillados (AyA) (Испанский)

Ukraine Economic Update – April 2013 (Украинский)

This brief provides highlights of the April 2013 Economic Update for Ukraine. Ukraine is in a recession because of weak external demand and delays in policy adjustment. Growth in 2013 is projected to remain...

Ukraine Economic Update – April 2013 (Английский)

This brief provides highlights of the April 2013 Economic Update for Ukraine. Ukraine is in a recession because of weak external demand and delays in policy adjustment. Growth in 2013 is projected to remain...

User's guide to an early warning system for macroeconomic vulnerability in Latin American countries (Английский)

The authors develop an early warning system for macroeconomic vulnerability for several Latin American countries, drawing on the work of Kaminsky, Lizondo, and Reinhart (1997) and Kaminsky (1988). They...