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What makes a currency procyclical? An empirical investigation (Английский)

This paper looks at the correlation between the cyclical components of gross domestic product and the exchange rate and classifies countries’ currencies as pro-cyclical if they appreciate in good times, countercyclical if they appreciate in bad times and a cyclical otherwise. With this classification, the paper shows that: (i) the countries that are commodity exporters and experience procyclical capital flows tend to have procyclical currencies; (ii)...
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