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Decision making under uncertainty - an option valuation approach to power planning (Английский)

This paper addresses the problem of irreversibility of investments, a topic related to the recently evolving "real options" literature. In the presence of alternatives, the opportunity to invest in a large "irreversible" project with uncertain benefits and costs is similar to a financial "call" option. In exercising this option one forgoes the potential gains from postponing the investment decision. Conventional economic appraisal techniques ignore...
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