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Agreeing on robust decisions : new processes for decision making under deep uncertainty (Английский)

Investment decision making is already difficult for any diverse group of actors with different priorities and views. But the presence of deep uncertainties linked to climate change and other future conditions further challenges decision making by questioning the robustness of all purportedly optimal solutions. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6906 JUN 01, 2014

Kalra, Nidhi; Hallegatte, Stephane; Lempert, Robert; Brown, Casey; Fozzard, Adrian; Gill, Stuart; Shah, Ankur

Carbon price efficiency : lock-in and path dependence in urban forms and transport infrastructure (Английский)

This paper investigates the effect of carbon or gasoline taxes on commuting-related CO2 emissions in an urban context. To assess the impact of public transport on the efficiency of the tax, the paper investigates two exogenous scenarios using a dynamic urban model (NEDUM-2D) calibrated for the urban area of Paris: (i) a scenario with the current dense public transport infrastructure, and (ii) a scenario without. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6941 JUN 01, 2014

Avner, Paolo; Rentschler, Jun; Hallegatte, Stephane

Economic resilience: definition and measurement : Economic resilience: definition and measurement (Английский)

The welfare impact of a disaster does not only depend on the physical characteristics of the event or its direct impacts in terms of lost lives and assets. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6852 MAY 01, 2014

Hallegatte, Stephane

Transition to clean capital, irreversible investment and stranded assets (Английский)

This paper uses a Ramsey model with two types of capital to analyze the optimal transition to clean capital when polluting investment is irreversible. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6859 MAY 01, 2014

Rozenberg, Julie; Vogt-Schilb, Adrien; Hallegatte, Stephane

Long-term mitigation strategies and marginal abatement cost curves : a case study on Brazil (Английский)

Decision makers facing abatement targets need to decide which abatement measures to implement, and in which order. This paper investigates the ability of marginal abatement cost (MAC) curves to inform this decision, reanalysing a MAC curve developed by the World Bank on Brazil. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6808 MAR 01, 2014

Vogt-Schilb, Adrien; Hallegatte, Stephane; de Gouvello Christophe

Green industrial policies : when and how (Английский)

Green industrial policies can be defined as industrial policies with an environmental goal -- or more precisely, as sector-targeted policies that affect the economic production structure with the aim of generating environmental benefits. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6677 OCT 01, 2013

Hallegatte, Stephane; Fay, Marianne; Vogt-Schilb, Adrien

How capital-based instruments facilitate the transition toward a low-carbon economy : a tradeoff between optimality and acceptability (Английский)

This paper compares the temporal profile of efforts to curb greenhouse gas emissions induced by two mitigation strategies: a regulation of all emissions with a carbon price and a regulation of emissions embedded in new capital only, using capital-based instruments such as investment regulation, differentiation of capital costs, or a carbon tax with temporary subsidies on brown capital. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6609 SEP 01, 2013

Rozenberg, Julie; Vogt-Schilb, Adrien; Hallegatte, Stephane

Should marginal abatement costs differ across sectors ? the effect of low-carbon capital accumulation (Английский)

The optimal timing, sectoral distribution, and cost of greenhouse gas emission reductions is different when abatement is obtained though abatement expenditures chosen along an abatement cost curve, or through investment in low-carbon capital. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6415 APR 01, 2013

Vogt-Schilb, Adrien; Hallegatte, Stephane; Meunier, Guy

An exploration of the link between development, economic growth, and natural risk (Английский)

This paper investigates the link between development, economic growth, and the economic losses from natural disasters in a general analytical framework, with an illustration on hurricane flood risks in New Orleans. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6216 OCT 01, 2012

Hallegatte, Stephane

Investment decision making under deep uncertainty -- application to climate change (Английский)

While agreeing on the choice of an optimal investment decision is already difficult for any diverse group of actors, priorities, and world views, the presence of deep uncertainties further challenges the decision-making framework by questioning the robustness of all purportedly optimal solutions. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6193 SEP 01, 2012

Hallegatte, Stephane; Shah, Ankur; Lempert, Robert; Brown, Casey; Gill, Stuart

How inertia and limited potentials affect the timing of sectoral abatements in optimal climate policy (Английский)

This paper investigates the optimal timing of greenhouse gas abatement efforts in a multi-sectoral model with economic inertia, each sector having a limited abatement potential. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6154 AUG 01, 2012

Vogt-Schilb, Adrien; Hallegatte, Stephane; Meunier, Guy

A cost effective solution to reduce disaster losses in developing countries : hydro-meteorological services, early warning, and evacuation (Английский)

In Europe, it can be estimated that hydro-meteorological information and early warning systems save several hundreds of lives per year, avoid between 460 million and 2.7 billion Euros of disaster asset losses per year, and produce between 3.4 and 34 billion of additional benefits per year through the optimization of economic production in weather-sensitive sectors (agriculture, energy, etc.). ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6058 MAY 01, 2012

Hallegatte, Stephane

Modeling the roles of heterogeneity, substitution, and inventories in the assessment of natural disaster economic costs (Английский)

Based on an IO structure, the ARIO-inventory model simulates the economic consequences and responses to a natural disaster. It represents explicitly production bottlenecks, models a flexibility in production capacity in case of scarcity, and introduces inventories as an additional flexibility in the production system. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS6047 APR 01, 2012

Hallegatte, Stephane

From growth to green growth -- a framework (Английский)

Green growth is about making growth processes resource-efficient, cleaner and more resilient without necessarily slowing them. This paper aims at clarifying these concepts in an analytical framework and at proposing foundations for green growth. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS5872 NOV 01, 2011

Treguer, David; Heal, Geoffrey; Fay, Marianne; Hallegatte, Stephane

When starting with the most expensive option makes sense : use and misuse of marginal abatement cost curves (Английский)

This article investigates the use of expert-based Marginal Abatement Cost Curves (MACC) to design abatement strategies. It shows that introducing inertia, in the form of the "cost in time" of available options, changes significantly the message from MACCs. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS5803 SEP 01, 2011

Vogt-Schilb, Adrien; Hallegatte, Stephane

A dynamic model of extreme risk coverage : resilience and efficiency in the global reinsurance market (Английский)

This paper presents a dynamic model of the reinsurance market for catastrophe risks. The model is based on the classical capacity-constraint assumption. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS5807 SEP 01, 2011

Hallegatte, Stephane; Lemoyne de Forges, Sabine; Bibas, Ruben

How economic growth and rational decisions can make disaster losses grow faster than wealth (Английский)

Assuming that capital productivity is higher in areas at risk from natural hazards (such as coastal zones or flood plains), this paper shows that rapid development in these areas -- and the resulting increase in disaster losses -- may be the consequence of a rational and well-informed trade-off between lower disaster losses and higher productivity. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS5617 MAR 01, 2011

Hallegatte, Stephane

Designing climate change adaptation policies : an economic framework (Английский)

Adaptation has long been neglected in the debate and policies surrounding climate change. However, increasing awareness of climate change has led many stakeholders to look for the best way to limit its consequences and has resulted in a large number of initiatives related to adaptation, particularly at the local level. ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS5568 FEB 01, 2011

Lecocq, Franck; Hallegatte, Stephane; de Perthuis, Christian

The economics of natural disasters : concepts and methods (Английский)

Large-scale disasters regularly affect societies over the globe, causing large destruction and damage. After each of these events, media, insurance companies, and international institu-tions publish numerous assessments of the "cost of the disaster." ... Подробнее +

Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики WPS5507 DEC 01, 2010

Hallegatte, Stephane; Przyluski, Valentin

Наименование проекта Дата подготовки документа Номер отчета Типу документа Документ доступен на
Agreeing on robust decisions : new processes for decision making under deep uncertainty (Английский)
Подробнее +
JUN 01, 2014 WPS6906 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
Carbon price efficiency : lock-in and path dependence in urban forms and transport infrastructure (Английский)
Подробнее +
JUN 01, 2014 WPS6941 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
Economic resilience: definition and measurement : Economic resilience: definition and measurement (Английский)
Подробнее +
MAY 01, 2014 WPS6852 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
Transition to clean capital, irreversible investment and stranded assets (Английский)
Подробнее +
MAY 01, 2014 WPS6859 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
Long-term mitigation strategies and marginal abatement cost curves : a case study on Brazil (Английский)
Подробнее +
MAR 01, 2014 WPS6808 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
Green industrial policies : when and how (Английский)
Подробнее +
OCT 01, 2013 WPS6677 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
How capital-based instruments facilitate the transition toward a low-carbon economy : a tradeoff between optimality and acceptability (Английский)
Подробнее +
SEP 01, 2013 WPS6609 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
Should marginal abatement costs differ across sectors ? the effect of low-carbon capital accumulation (Английский)
Подробнее +
APR 01, 2013 WPS6415 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
An exploration of the link between development, economic growth, and natural risk (Английский)
Подробнее +
OCT 01, 2012 WPS6216 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
Investment decision making under deep uncertainty -- application to climate change (Английский)
Подробнее +
SEP 01, 2012 WPS6193 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
How inertia and limited potentials affect the timing of sectoral abatements in optimal climate policy (Английский)
Подробнее +
AUG 01, 2012 WPS6154 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
A cost effective solution to reduce disaster losses in developing countries : hydro-meteorological services, early warning, and evacuation (Английский)
Подробнее +
MAY 01, 2012 WPS6058 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
Modeling the roles of heterogeneity, substitution, and inventories in the assessment of natural disaster economic costs (Английский)
Подробнее +
APR 01, 2012 WPS6047 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
From growth to green growth -- a framework (Английский)
Подробнее +
NOV 01, 2011 WPS5872 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
When starting with the most expensive option makes sense : use and misuse of marginal abatement cost curves (Английский)
Подробнее +
SEP 01, 2011 WPS5803 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
A dynamic model of extreme risk coverage : resilience and efficiency in the global reinsurance market (Английский)
Подробнее +
SEP 01, 2011 WPS5807 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
How economic growth and rational decisions can make disaster losses grow faster than wealth (Английский)
Подробнее +
MAR 01, 2011 WPS5617 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
Designing climate change adaptation policies : an economic framework (Английский)
Подробнее +
FEB 01, 2011 WPS5568 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики
The economics of natural disasters : concepts and methods (Английский)
Подробнее +
DEC 01, 2010 WPS5507 Рабочий документ в рамках исследования вопросов политики